Highlighted by the model, Blackburn to win is worth analysing. Reading has started extremely poorly this season, especially losing 4-0 to Rotherham. Reading is also suffering heavily from injuries and their squad strength is becoming an issue. WhoScore's team characteristics suggest it's likely Blackburn will score from a quick break or due to Reading's mistakes and I don't see Reading scoring more than they let in.
A disastrous first half performance saw Reading head into the interval trailing 4-0 against expected relegation rivals Rotherham on Saturday. The Royals have conceded six goals in their opening three league games and are desperately short on squad depth. The Championship's only 100% record is still standing heading into gameweek four after Blackburn beat West Brom 2-1 on Sunday afternoon. Jon Dahl Tomasson has made an immediate impact after coming in; his side sits top of the pile after three games. 0:3
Blackburn have been winning at both half time and full time in their last 4 matches (Championship). There have been over 2.5 goals scored in Blackburn's last 5 away games (Championship). Blackburn have won their last 4 matches (Championship). Reading have failed to score in 5 of their last 6 matches (Championship). Reading have lost 5 of their last 6 matches (Championship). Reading have won 5 of their last 6 home matches against Blackburn in all competitions. Reading have seen under 2.5 goals in their last 3 matches against Blackburn in all competitions. Blackburn have scored at least 2 goals in their last 3 away matches (Championship).
Reading are screaming out for some creativity in the middle of the park in the absence of the injured Ovie Ejaria, so Paul Ince could call upon teenager Mamadi Camara in midweek. A switch to a 4-2-3-1 system is expected this weekend with Tyrese Fornah likely to drop to the bench. Joe Lumley was at fault for three goals on Saturday in a dismal performance. He could lose his place to Australian stopper Dean Bouzanis on Wednesday night. Jon Dahl Tomasson lost right-back Callum Brittain to injury on Sunday afternoon, so expect John Buckley to drop into the back four. Scott Wharton is also unavailable for the away side, so young centre-back Ashley Phillips should keep his place in defence.