Borussia Dortmund have won their last 8 home matches (Bundesliga). There have been over 2.5 goals scored in Borussia Dortmund's last 6 home games (Bundesliga). There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 5 of Mainz's last 6 away games (Bundesliga). Borussia Dortmund have seen under 2.5 goals in their last 3 home matches against Mainz in all competitions.
Erling Haaland could return after missing Dortmund's last few matches because of a muscle injury. Mahmoud Dahoud is available after suspension, but has a slight niggle. Manuel Akanji had to leave Swiss national camp after adductor pain, while goalkeeper Gregor Kobel did not even travel. Thomas Meunier left Belgium's camp early too, as did Thorgan Hazard with ankle pain. Youssoufa Moukoko suffered a muscle tear while away with Germany U21s, and Raphael Guerreiro picked up a similar injury while away with Portugal. Dan-Axel Zagadou continues his rehab after a knee operation. Gio Reyna is still on his way back from a muscle injury suffered on the last international break, but Emre Can is over a thigh injury. Mateu Morey has a knee injury. Dominik Kohr is suspended after his red card before the international break. Moussa Niakhaté is nearing a return from a thigh injury, while Aarón Martín is also fit after a groin injury. Alexander Hack tested positive for COVID-19 and is unlikely to feature. Ádám Szalai has had a knee op and will be out for several weeks.
Hopes remain high that the Black and Yellows can mount a title challenge for the first time in 10 years and despite two away defeats BVB are only a point behind leaders Bayern. Star man Erling "Machine" Haaland boasts 47 goals in 48 Bundesliga games and holds the key to those title hopes in front of a potential crowd of 67,000. Mainz coach Bo Svensson seems sure to follow in the footsteps of Jurgen Klopp and Thomas Tuchel, the next Super Coach to start at Mainz, and who knows - next stop could be BVB. Mainz were marvellous towards the end of last season and overcame COVID-19 problems to start the season well this time around, but are without a win in three games which is likely to be extended here. 2:1